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NCAAF

Derrick Salley Jr.

Kansas State

Value call

Derrick Salley Jr. (Kansas State) has one live pick today: over 38.5 receiving yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
50.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.5% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +12.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils
Sat 24 Oct, 3:45 PM ET
Derrick Salley Jr.
over 38.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 38.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick Salley Jr. is Over 38.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 6:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 832 of 1,543 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards62.5%—52.9%2.01+12.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/3
Last 10 games2/3

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AI Analysis

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Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats: Derrick Salley Jr. Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Derrick Salley Jr. Over 38.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Derrick Salley Jr. finishes with more than 38.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Derrick Salley Jr.'s lines for Sat 24 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 38.5
-112 best over price · 1 book

Derrick Salley Jr.'s receiving yards line is 38.5, best over price -112 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Derrick Salley Jr. (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick Salley Jr. is Over 38.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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