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NCAAF

Derrick Salley Jr.

Kansas State

Value call

Derrick Salley Jr. (Kansas State) has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
5.6 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.1% · before adjusting for past results 97.3% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats
Sat 7 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Derrick Salley Jr.
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.33 Odds-120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick Salley Jr. is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 12:29AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,402 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions97.3%56.1%54.6%1.95+45.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/4
Last 10 games4/4

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma State Cowboys: Derrick Salley Jr. Over 2.5 Receptions (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Kansas State Wildcats host Oklahoma State Cowboys in college football. The bet we are looking at is Derrick Salley Jr. Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Derrick Salley Jr. finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Nov 26 Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats Receptions 2.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas State Wildcats Receiving Yards 40.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receiving Yards 35.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Derrick Salley Jr. (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick Salley Jr. is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +45.9% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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