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NCAAF

Ed Small

TCU

Value call

Ed Small has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $226 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
6.7 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.4% · before adjusting for past results 97.8% · the book's price implies 44.2% · gap +12.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
TCU Horned Frogs @ Arizona Wildcats
Fri 6 Nov, 10:15 PM ET
Ed Small
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions Over 3.5 +126 (2.26) · $100→$226
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.60 Odds+126
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ed Small is Over 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 6, 5:00PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions97.8%56.4%44.2%2.40+55.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Arizona Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs: Ed Small Over 3.5 Receptions (+126)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arizona Wildcats host TCU Horned Frogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Ed Small Over 3.5 Receptions. This wins if Ed Small finishes with more than 3.5 receptions. It was priced at +126 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.60 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ed Small's lines for Sat 7 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 3.5
+120 best over price · 4 books

Ed Small's receptions line is 3.5, best over price +120 across 4 books.

Receiving Yards 32.5
-112 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games

Ed Small's receiving yards line is 32.5, best over price -112 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 West Virginia Mountaineers @ TCU Horned Frogs Receiving Yards 67.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears Receptions 3.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears Receiving Yards 35.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
31 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ TCU Horned Frogs Receptions — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ TCU Horned Frogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Kansas Jayhawks @ TCU Horned Frogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ed Small (TCU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ed Small is Over 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +55.4% on this pick. Their next game is TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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