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NCAAF

Jaden Craig

TCU

Value call

Jaden Craig has one live pick today: over 210.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
245.4 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.4% · before adjusting for past results 89.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -1.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Jaden Craig
over 210.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Over 210.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaden Craig is Over 210.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 9:32AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 257 of 443 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards89.2%51.4%53.2%2.00+39.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs: Jaden Craig Over 210.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Baylor Bears host TCU Horned Frogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jaden Craig Over 210.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Jaden Craig finishes with more than 210.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jaden Craig's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 210.5

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 210.5.

Passing Yards 214.5

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 214.5.

Passing Yards 213.5

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 213.5.

Passing Yards 221.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 221.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Passing TDs 1.5
+158 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Jaden Craig's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price +158 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 219.5
-115 best over price · 2 books

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 219.5, best over price -115 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 226.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Jaden Craig's passing yards line is 226.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Completions 19.5
-125 best over price · 1 book

Jaden Craig's completions line is 19.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 TCU Horned Frogs @ UCF Knights Passing Yards 225.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 TCU Horned Frogs @ UCF Knights Passing Yards 228.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 TCU Horned Frogs @ UCF Knights Passing Yards 229.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs Completions — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaden Craig (TCU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaden Craig is Over 210.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +39.2% on this pick. Their next game is TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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