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Model picks & player props
Troy Trojans
VS
Missouri Tigers

Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 33 markets for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers and backs Under 37 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $490.

NCAAF
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:00PM
20
Game markets graded
13
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 37 Alt Total Points +390

The model graded 33 markets for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $490 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:00PM.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win17.3%
The price says19.3%
Best price+390
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 37 Long-shot17% chance +390
Alt Total Points Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean51% chance Members
Rushing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 100% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 100% Members
Receiving Yards × 6 props Highup to 97% Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 96% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Troy Trojans and Missouri Tigers last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Troy Trojans 10.5 · $100 returned $580

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 603 of 1,116 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeOct 3
Over 41.5
Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $195
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
44.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri TigersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Troy TrojansAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri TigersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Troy Trojans

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Missouri Tigers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jamal Roberts Missouri Rushing Yards
Goose Crowder Troy Passing Yards
Cayden Lee Missouri Receiving Yards
Naeshaun Montgomery Missouri Receptions
Naeshaun Montgomery Missouri Receiving Yards

+ 13 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Troy Trojans @ Missouri Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 33 betting markets for Troy Trojans at Missouri Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 13 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
13
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 33 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 32 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Troy Trojans @ Missouri Tigers — model preview

Missouri Tigers v Troy Trojans, 19 September 2026. Top of the list: Missouri Tigers -27 on the Line. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Missouri Tigers play Troy Trojans in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Missouri Tigers -27 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Missouri Tigers -27 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Missouri Tigers host Troy Trojans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Missouri Tigers -27 Point Spread. On this line Missouri Tigers give up 27 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 27. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetMGM. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 44.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 76.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 49.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 49 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread Troy Trojans +23.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 54.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 46.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 64.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Total Points Under 50 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 59.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Trojans vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Trojans. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Missouri Tigers 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Sep 2026Troy Trojans @ Missouri Tigers27–17Missouri Tigers
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