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NCAAF

Gavin Griffin

Troy

Value call

Gavin Griffin has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $430 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.2% · before adjusting for past results 46.3% · the book's price implies 23.3% · gap +24.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Troy Trojans @ James Madison Dukes
Thu 29 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Gavin Griffin
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +330 (4.30) · $100→$430
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$43.00 Odds+330
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Griffin is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 23%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs46.3%47.2%23.3%2.12+23.0%

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AI Analysis

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James Madison Dukes vs Troy Trojans: Gavin Griffin Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+330)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 29 October 2026, James Madison Dukes host Troy Trojans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Gavin Griffin Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Gavin Griffin finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +330 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $43 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Oct 26 Troy Trojans @ James Madison Dukes Rush TDs 0.5 Over +330 ✓ HIT
06 Oct 26 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Rushing Yards 58.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
06 Oct 26 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Rushing Yards — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Rushing Yards — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
06 Oct 26 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Griffin (Troy) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Griffin is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.0% on this pick. Their next game is Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes on Thursday 29 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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