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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 24 Oct 2026, 4:00 PM ET
UL Monroe Warhawks
0-6 · 0-3 awayLLLLL
VS
Troy Trojans
3-3 · 3-0 at homeWLLWL
Our model's predicted score: Troy Trojans 38.1 – UL Monroe Warhawks 20.4

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans Prediction & Picks · Sat 24 Oct

Model updated Oct 20, 6:07PM UTC

Our model graded 5 markets for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans and backs Over 50.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $189.

5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 50.5 total points
Over 50.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93Best price-112
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.0%
The price says49.9%

The model graded 5 markets for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Oct 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Saturday 24 October 2026: UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 50.5 Lean49% chance -112
Total Points Members only Lean49% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Troy Trojans are the model's favourite to beat UL Monroe Warhawks, with a 84% chance to win. Predicted score: Troy Trojans 38.1 – UL Monroe Warhawks 20.4. Kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 4:00 PM ET. Best bet: Over 50.5 at -112.
How they've been scoring this season
UL Monroe WarhawksTroy Trojans
Won-lost0-63-3
Points scored per game20.024.3
Points allowed per game41.225.5
On the road / at home0-3 away3-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLLLWLLWL
Their games average 55.5 total points this season.
From the 6 UL Monroe Warhawks and 6 Troy Trojans games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Troy Trojans about 9 in 10 to win. Now: about 8 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Warhawksabout 2 in 10$6.27 (+527)$6.25 (+525)
Troy Trojansabout 8 in 10$1.19 (-526)$1.14 (-714)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.60 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 18 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
50.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Troy TrojansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward UL Monroe Warhawks on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward UL Monroe Warhawks
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

UL Monroe Warhawks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Troy Trojans

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 21 Oct

Troy Trojans vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 51 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 51 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 51 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 51 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Troy Trojans -14.5 on the Line (-101)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Troy Trojans -14.5 Point Spread. On this line Troy Trojans give up 14.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 14.5. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UL Monroe Warhawks to Win (+525)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is UL Monroe Warhawks Moneyline. This one only needs UL Monroe Warhawks to win the game. It was priced at +525 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $62.50 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +525 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $62.50 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Troy Trojans v UL Monroe Warhawks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Troy Trojans — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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UL Monroe Warhawks @ Troy Trojans — where the money went

Since betting opened on UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans, the market has moved toward UL Monroe Warhawks across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — UL Monroe Warhawks▲ Money came for this
Spread — Troy Trojans -17.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — UL Monroe Warhawks 17.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Troy Trojans -17▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — UL Monroe Warhawks 17▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Troy Trojans▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Troy Trojans -16.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — UL Monroe Warhawks 16.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Troy Trojans — model preview

Troy Trojans v UL Monroe Warhawks, 24 October 2026. Top of the list: Over 51 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 51 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 51 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Troy Trojans host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 51 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 51 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Warhawks vs Trojans, or as Trojans vs Warhawks. The next scheduled game is Saturday 24 October 2026. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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