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NCAAF

Connor Lair

Missouri State

Value call

Connor Lair (Missouri State) has one live pick today: under 56.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
39.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.3% · before adjusting for past results 66.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -0.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears
Tue 27 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Connor Lair
under 56.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 56.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Lair is Under 56.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:11PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards66.2%52.3%53.2%2.00+16.2%

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AI Analysis

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Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Connor Lair Under 56.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Missouri State Bears host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Connor Lair Under 56.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Connor Lair finishes with fewer than 56.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Connor Lair's lines for Wed 28 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 56.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Connor Lair's rushing yards line is 56.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Connor Lair (Missouri State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Lair is Under 56.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears on Tuesday 27 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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