Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NCAAF

Henry Belin IV

Missouri State

Value call

Henry Belin IV (Missouri State) has one live pick today: under 1.5 passing touchdowns that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
0.9 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.9% · before adjusting for past results 97.9% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap -3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears
Tue 27 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Henry Belin IV
under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Passing TDs Under 1.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Henry Belin IV is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:52PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs97.9%49.9%53.5%1.99+47.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/9

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Henry Belin IV Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Missouri State Bears host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Henry Belin IV Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Henry Belin IV finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Henry Belin IV's lines for Wed 28 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 1.5
-112 best over price · 2 books

Henry Belin IV's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price -112 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 255.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Henry Belin IV's passing yards line is 255.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Oct 26 Missouri State Bears @ Delaware Blue Hens Passing Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Henry Belin IV (Missouri State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Henry Belin IV is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +47.6% on this pick. Their next game is Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears on Tuesday 27 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.