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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Fri 9 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Florida State Seminoles
VS
Louisville Cardinals

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 33 markets for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals and backs Under 60.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

15
Game markets graded
18
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 60.5 total points
Under 60.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.7%
The price says49.7%

The model graded 33 markets for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 9 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 60.5 Lean52% chance -110
Total Points Members only Lean47% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Receptions × 1 prop Highup to 90% Members
Rushing Yards × 5 props Highup to 83% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 81% Members
Rush TDs × 1 prop Highup to 89% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 79% Members
Passing TDs × 1 prop Highup to 63% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Florida State Seminoles and Louisville Cardinals last met on Fri 9 Oct 2026: Louisville Cardinals won 44-20. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
60.5
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida State SeminolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Florida State Seminoles

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Louisville Cardinals

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lawayne McCoy Louisville Receptions
Ousmane Kromah Florida State Rushing Yards
Lawayne McCoy Louisville Receiving Yards
Lincoln Kienholz Louisville Rushing Yards
Ousmane Kromah Florida State Rush TDs

+ 18 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 33 betting markets for Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals — 15 on the game itself and 18 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded
18
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 33 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals — model preview

Louisville Cardinals v Florida State Seminoles, 9 October 2026. Top of the list: Under 60.5 Total Points. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Friday 9 October 2026, Louisville Cardinals play Florida State Seminoles in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 60.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 60.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 9 October 2026, Louisville Cardinals host Florida State Seminoles in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 60.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 60.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Seminoles vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Seminoles. The most recent game between them was Friday 9 October 2026. The model has generated 15 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 9 Oct 2026Louisville Cardinals beat Florida State Seminoles 44-20 at home

Florida State Seminoles: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Boston College Eagles 31-24
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Clemson Tigers 24-36
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostat Miami Hurricanes 35-43
  4. 9 Oct 2026Lostat Louisville Cardinals 20-44
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonvs Virginia Cavaliers 38-7

Louisville Cardinals: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 44-17
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Stanford Cardinal 52-24
  3. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Syracuse Orange 34-26
  4. 9 Oct 2026Wonvs Florida State Seminoles 44-20
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat NC State Wolfpack 28-31

Quick answers

Who won the last Louisville Cardinals vs Florida State Seminoles game? Louisville Cardinals won their last meeting 44-20 on 9 October 2026.

How have Florida State Seminoles and Louisville Cardinals done lately? Florida State Seminoles won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Louisville Cardinals won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals: the season so far

From every final score this season

Florida State Seminoles are 4-5 this season and Louisville Cardinals are 6-3. Louisville Cardinals are 4-1 at home. Florida State Seminoles are 1-3 on the road. Louisville Cardinals score 41 points a game and let in 25.9. Florida State Seminoles score 30.7 and let in 28.3. Louisville Cardinals games have averaged 67 points in total; Florida State Seminoles games have averaged 59. Louisville Cardinals have won their last 4.

SeasonFlorida State SeminolesLouisville Cardinals
Won-lost4-56-3
At home3-24-1
On the road1-32-2
Points scored a game30.741
Points let in a game28.325.9
Points scored at home30.845
Points scored away30.536.0
Against winning sides0-51-2
Current runWon 1Won 4
Biggest win38-7 vs Virginia Cavaliers59-13 vs Villanova Wildcats
Heaviest loss44-20 at Louisville Cardinals31-28 at NC State Wolfpack

Teams they have both played

  • Against SMU Mustangs: Louisville Cardinals won 41-31 at home; Florida State Seminoles lost 24-27 at home.

Quick answers

How are Louisville Cardinals doing this season? Louisville Cardinals are 6-3 this season: 4-1 at home and 2-2 on the road.

How many points do Florida State Seminoles score a game? Florida State Seminoles score 30.7 points a game this season and let in 28.3, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Louisville Cardinals 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Fri 9 Oct 2026, Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals: Louisville Cardinals won 44-20.

DateGameScoreWinner
9 Oct 2026Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals44–20Louisville Cardinals
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