Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 28.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 97 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 97%, implied 53%, edge +46.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 16, 1:40PM UTC
NCAAF
Lincoln Kienholz
Louisville
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Over 28.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+46.8% Edge
SMU Mustangs
@
Louisville Cardinals
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How often this wins
97 in 100
Predicted
60.3 Rushing Yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 96.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +46.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 96.8% | — | 53.2% | 2.00 | +46.8% |
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Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs: Lincoln Kienholz Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Lincoln Kienholz Over 28.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Lincoln Kienholz finishes with more than 28.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Lincoln Kienholz's lines for Sat 19 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards 28.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Lincoln Kienholz's rushing yards line is 28.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
Passing Yards 240.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Lincoln Kienholz's passing yards line is 240.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 28.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +46.8% on this pick. Their next game is SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals on Saturday 19 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.
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