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NCAAF

Lincoln Kienholz

Louisville

Value call

Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) has one live pick today: over 25.5 rushing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
46.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.6% · before adjusting for past results 89.6% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -3.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange
Sat 17 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Lincoln Kienholz
over 25.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 25.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 25.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 27, 6:22AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards89.6%49.6%52.9%2.01+39.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Syracuse Orange vs Louisville Cardinals: Lincoln Kienholz Over 25.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Syracuse Orange host Louisville Cardinals in college football. The bet we are looking at is Lincoln Kienholz Over 25.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Lincoln Kienholz finishes with more than 25.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange Rushing Yards 25.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange Passing Yards 220.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange Rushing Yards 26.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange Passing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange Passing Yards — — — Pending
09 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 25.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +39.9% on this pick. Their next game is Louisville Cardinals vs Syracuse Orange on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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