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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 6:48PM UTC
NCAAF

Lincoln Kienholz

Louisville

Value call

Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Over 29.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 29.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
39.4 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.7% · before adjusting for past results 72.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards72.7%49.7%53.2%2.00+22.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Louisville Cardinals vs Florida State Seminoles: Lincoln Kienholz Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 9 October 2026, Louisville Cardinals host Florida State Seminoles in college football. The bet we are looking at is Lincoln Kienholz Over 29.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Lincoln Kienholz finishes with more than 29.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Lincoln Kienholz's lines for Fri 9 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 29.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Lincoln Kienholz's rushing yards line is 29.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 242.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Lincoln Kienholz's passing yards line is 242.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Passing TDs 1.5
+107 best over price · 2 books

Lincoln Kienholz's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price +107 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Passing Yards 254.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Passing TDs 2.5 Under -222 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Louisville Cardinals Passing TDs 1.5 Under +135 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Passing TDs — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lincoln Kienholz is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.7% on this pick. Their next game is Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals on Friday 9 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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