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NCAAF

Ashton Daniels

Florida State

Value call

Ashton Daniels (Florida State) has one live pick today: under 14.5 rushing attempts that pays $174 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
98 in 100
Predicted
9.2 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 98.4% · the book's price implies 57.5% · gap +46.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Ashton Daniels
under 14.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 14.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
Value call
HIGHWins about 98 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.41 Odds-135
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ashton Daniels is Under 14.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 98 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 98%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 9:50AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts98.4%—57.5%1.93+46.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

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Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles: Ashton Daniels Under 14.5 Rushing Attempts (-135)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Miami Hurricanes host Florida State Seminoles in college football. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Daniels Under 14.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Ashton Daniels finishes with fewer than 14.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.41 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (41 picks) 63.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Rush Attempts 14.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Rush Attempts 12.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Rushing Yards 30.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Passing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes Passing TDs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ashton Daniels (Florida State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 63.4% on tracked Ashton Daniels picks. The latest model pick for Ashton Daniels is Under 14.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +46.6% on this pick. Their next game is Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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