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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ashton Daniels is Under 202.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 74%, implied 53%, edge +24.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 1:07PM UTC
NCAAF

Ashton Daniels

Florida State

+24.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards Under 202.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+24.2% Edge
SMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
Mon 7 Sep, 11:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals unders: 1,558 of 2,901 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
180.2 Passing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +24.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards74.2%74.2%53.2%2.00+24.2%

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AI Analysis

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Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs: Ashton Daniels Under 202.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Monday 7 September 2026, Florida State Seminoles host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Daniels Under 202.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Ashton Daniels finishes with fewer than 202.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ashton Daniels's lines for Mon 7 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 202.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Ashton Daniels's passing yards line is 202.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Passing Yards 203.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Ashton Daniels's passing yards line is 203.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ashton Daniels (Florida State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ashton Daniels is Under 202.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.2% on this pick. Their next game is SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles on Monday 7 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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