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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ziaire Williams is Over 2.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 64%, edge +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:25PM UTC
NBA

Ziaire Williams

Brooklyn Nets

+11.7% Edge
🔥 10 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Over 2.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+11.7% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Mon 9 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
4.2 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.4% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap +11.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds75.4%63.7%1.33+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ziaire Williams (Brooklyn Nets) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ziaire Williams is poised for a standout night on the boards against the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Brooklyn Nets hosting this matchup, the comfort of home seems to elevate his game. Averaging 4.6 rebounds in his last five games at home, he's not just hitting the over on 2.5; he's consistently surpassing it. Looking at his performance against the Grizzlies, he's secured 2 rebounds at home in their last faceoff, and he's riding a perfect streak-hitting the over in all ten of his last games. The numbers don't lie: with an expected stat value of 4.21, it's clear he's well-equipped to dominate the glass. Given these trends and his current form, targeting the over on Williams' rebounds feels like a savvy play as he continues to thrive in front of the home crowd.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ziaire Williams — 2024-25 season averages

Over 63 games in the 2024-25 season, Ziaire Williams averaged 10.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 24.5 minutes per game, shooting 41.2% from the field and 34.1% from three-point range.

10.0
PPG
4.6
RPG
1.3
APG
1.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
24.5
MPG
41.2%
FG%
34.1%
3P%

Ziaire Williams — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ziaire Williams has played 21.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

21.2
MPG (L5)
8.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ziaire Williams — points hit rate

Ziaire Williams has scored over 11.5 points in 15% of 53 career games.

o11.515%
o12.515%
o15.511%

Ziaire Williams — home vs away scoring

At home Ziaire Williams averages 8.9 points per game; on the road, 11.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.9
PPG at home
11.2
PPG on the road

Ziaire Williams — scoring by opponent

Ziaire Williams scores most against the DEN, averaging 9.3 points per game in that matchup.

9.3
DEN
8.1
GS
7.2
MIN
7.1
HOU
5.5
LAC
5.2
LAL

Ziaire Williams — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ziaire Williams has averaged 10.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
10 Aprvs ATL15910
8 Aprvs NO17941
6 Aprvs TOR241141
31 Mar@ DAL251120
29 Mar@ WSH25032
28 Marvs LAC18631
26 Marvs TOR271361
24 Marvs DAL22621
20 Mar@ IND352251
18 Mar@ BOS281540
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ziaire Williams (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Ziaire Williams is currently on a 10-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Ziaire Williams is Over 2.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets on Monday 9 March at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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