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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ziaire Williams is Over 2.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:09AM UTC
NBA

Ziaire Williams

Brooklyn Nets

+11.7% Edge
🔥 10 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Over 2.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+11.7% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Mon 9 Mar, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.4%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
4.2 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds75.4%63.7%1.33+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ziaire Williams (Brooklyn Nets) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets prepare to host the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Ziaire Williams, particularly when it comes to his rebounding game. With an average of 4.6 boards at home over his last five games, he's shown an impressive ability to hit the glass, and that's no fluke. Williams has successfully secured over 2.5 rebounds in each of his last 10 outings, a streak that's hard to ignore.Furthermore, when facing off against Memphis, he's averaging 2 rebounds per game at home, which is well above the mark we're targeting. The Grizzlies tend to struggle against versatile players like Williams, who can exploit mismatches effectively. With the implied probability of hitting this prop at 63.7%, it's a solid play. Expect him to continue that momentum in front of the home crowd and grab those boards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ziaire Williams — 2024-25 season averages

Over 63 games in the 2024-25 season, Ziaire Williams averaged 10.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 24.5 minutes per game, shooting 41.2% from the field and 34.1% from three-point range.

10.0
PPG
4.6
RPG
1.3
APG
1.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
24.5
MPG
41.2%
FG%
34.1%
3P%

Ziaire Williams — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ziaire Williams has played 21.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

21.2
MPG (L5)
8.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ziaire Williams — points hit rate

Ziaire Williams has scored over 11.5 points in 15% of 53 career games.

o11.515%
o12.515%
o15.511%

Ziaire Williams — home vs away scoring

At home Ziaire Williams averages 8.9 points per game; on the road, 11.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.9
PPG at home
11.2
PPG on the road

Ziaire Williams — scoring by opponent

Ziaire Williams scores most against the DEN, averaging 9.3 points per game in that matchup.

9.3
DEN
8.1
GS
7.2
MIN
7.1
HOU
5.5
LAC
5.2
LAL

Ziaire Williams — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ziaire Williams has averaged 10.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
10 Aprvs ATL15910
8 Aprvs NO17941
6 Aprvs TOR241141
31 Mar@ DAL251120
29 Mar@ WSH25032
28 Marvs LAC18631
26 Marvs TOR271361
24 Marvs DAL22621
20 Mar@ IND352251
18 Mar@ BOS281540
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ziaire Williams (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Ziaire Williams is currently on a 10-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Ziaire Williams is Over 2.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets on Monday 9 March at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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