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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 12.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +22.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Trendon Watford

Philadelphia 76ers

+22.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 12.5 -106 (1.94)
+22.8% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.4%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+22.8%
Predicted Value
8.3 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts74.4%—51.5%1.34+22.8%

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AI Analysis

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Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 12.5 Points + Assists (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes are on Trendon Watford. While he's been a solid contributor off the bench, recent performances suggest a low-scoring night is on the horizon. Averaging just 10.2 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, Watford has struggled to make a significant impact, especially at home where his numbers dip even further to 8.8 points and 2.8 assists. Against the Thunder, he's only managed an average of 4.6 points, and the trend continues in his home matches, where that number slightly improves to 5.2. With a hit rate of just 12 out of 17 games going under this 12.5 mark, combined with a home hit rate of 88.9%, it seems wise to lean on the Under here. Expect Watford to have a quiet night as the 76ers focus on their stars.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
11.7avg · last 10
L515.6Szn10.2Home10.6Away9.8Best27
5+84%
10+52%
15+18%
20+7%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 11.7 · hi 22 · lo 6
967611132281520

Trendon Watford is averaging 11.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.2, best 27). He clears 10+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
15.2avg · last 10
L519.6Szn12.8Home13.4Away12.2Best30
3+98%
8+77%
13+50%
18+18%
23+7%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 15.2 · hi 27 · lo 7
121187161727111924

Trendon Watford is averaging 15.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.8, best 30). He clears 13+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
16.6avg · last 10
L521.2Szn13.9Home13.9Away13.8Best33
4+98%
9+77%
14+48%
19+18%
24+7%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 16.6 · hi 27 · lo 9
1311911161825132327

Trendon Watford is averaging 16.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.9, best 33). He clears 14+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
20.1avg · last 10
L525.2Szn16.5Home16.7Away16.2Best36
6+98%
11+80%
16+55%
21+27%
26+11%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 20.1 · hi 31 · lo 10
16161012212230162731

Trendon Watford is averaging 20.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.5, best 36). He clears 16+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
4.9avg · last 10
L55.6Szn3.6Home3.3Away4.0Best14
2+84%
4+50%
6+9%
8+5%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.9 · hi 8 · lo 2
4525553587

Trendon Watford is averaging 4.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.6, best 14). He clears 4+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L59.6Szn6.3Home6.1Away6.4Best18
3+95%
6+59%
9+20%
12+5%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 8.4 · hi 12 · lo 3
71036109881211

Trendon Watford is averaging 8.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.3, best 18). He clears 6+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts 12.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 12.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers on Monday 23 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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