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NBA

Trendon Watford

Philadelphia 76ers

+10.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 4.5 -159 (1.63)
+10.5% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
71.9%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+10.5%
Predicted Value
3.1 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to host the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes will be on Trendon Watford's rebounding game. While he's been a solid contributor, recent trends suggest that he might struggle to hit the over on 4.5 boards. In his last five games, he's averaged just 4.2 rebounds, but at home, that number dips slightly to 4. Watford's matchup against the Thunder has been particularly telling; he averages only 3.2 rebounds against them, and that number holds steady when playing in Philadelphia.With a hit rate of under 4.5 in 14 of his last 18 home games, it's clear that he often finds himself on the lower end of the rebounding spectrum. Considering the implied probability is around 61.3%, betting on the under feels like a smart play. If he continues this trend, he'll likely fall short of that 4.5 mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 40.0% (4/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts 12.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebs + Asts 7.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 40.0% (4/10). The latest model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers on Monday 23 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.