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The latest Bet Better model pick for Quenton Jackson is Under 18.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +29.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:44PM UTC
NBA

Quenton Jackson

Indiana Pacers

+29.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 18.5 -122 (1.82)
+29.4% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.4%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+29.4%
Predicted Value
12.1 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts84.4%—54.9%1.19+29.4%

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AI Analysis

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Quenton Jackson (Indiana Pacers) Under 18.5 Points + Assists (-122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Quenton Jackson. However, we're leaning towards the under on his combined points and assists line of 18.5. In his last 18 outings, he's hit this mark just three times at home, showcasing a clear trend of underperformance. The Timberwolves are known for their stout defense, particularly against guards, which could further stifle Jackson's impact.In recent games, his expected stat value hovers around 12.07, indicating significant room for regression. With an impressive 15 out of 18 hit rate, it seems like a solid play to bet against the grain here. At home, he's been even quieter, hitting the under in all three of his last home games. As the Pacers look to find their rhythm, we anticipate Jackson's contributions will remain muted, making the under a compelling option.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.2avg · last 10
L52.6Szn1.9Home1.6Away2.1Best7
2+54%
4+14%
6+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.2 · hi 7 · lo 0
3510007132

Quenton Jackson is averaging 2.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 7). He clears 2+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.0avg · last 10
L58.0Szn5.8Home4.9Away6.4Best24
1+71%
6+39%
11+18%
16+7%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6 · hi 21 · lo 0
2501300511321

Quenton Jackson is averaging 6.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.8, best 24). He clears 6+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.2avg · last 10
L510.6Szn7.7Home6.5Away8.4Best27
3+68%
8+43%
13+21%
18+7%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8.2 · hi 23 · lo 0
510113001221623

Quenton Jackson is averaging 8.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.7, best 27). He clears 8+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.7avg · last 10
L59.8Szn7.4Home6.6Away7.8Best27
2+75%
7+46%
12+25%
17+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 7.7 · hi 27 · lo 0
4801510711427

Quenton Jackson is averaging 7.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.4, best 27). He clears 7+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
9.9avg · last 10
L512.4Szn9.3Home8.3Away9.9Best29
4+68%
9+46%
14+32%
19+7%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.9 · hi 29 · lo 0
713115101421729

Quenton Jackson is averaging 9.9 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.3, best 29). He clears 9+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
3.9avg · last 10
L54.4Szn3.5Home3.4Away3.5Best9
3+57%
6+21%
9+7%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.9 · hi 9 · lo 0
5812109148

Quenton Jackson is averaging 3.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 9). He clears 3+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts 18.5 Under -122 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Quenton Jackson (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quenton Jackson is Under 18.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers on Tuesday 7 April at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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