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The latest Bet Better model pick for Quenton Jackson is Under 21.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +30.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Quenton Jackson

Indiana Pacers

+30.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 21.5 -114 (1.88)
+30.2% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
83.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+30.2%
Predicted Value
14.2 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts83.4%—53.2%1.20+30.2%

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AI Analysis

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Quenton Jackson (Indiana Pacers) Under 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers prepare to host the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Quenton Jackson. While the spotlight is usually a thrilling affair, there's reason to believe he may not hit the mark tonight. With an expected stat value hanging around 14.21, Jackson has consistently fallen short of the 21.5 total for points, rebounds, and assists, evidenced by an impressive run of 16 out of his last 18 games hitting the under. At home, he's even more locked in, boasting a perfect 8-for-8 record under this line. The Timberwolves have a knack for tightening up defensively, especially against players like Jackson, which could further limit his contributions. Given the stakes and his current form, it feels like a smart play to lean into the under here. With the numbers backing it up, expect a quieter night from Jackson than some might anticipate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.2avg · last 10
L52.6Szn1.9Home1.6Away2.1Best7
2+54%
4+14%
6+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.2 · hi 7 · lo 0
3510007132

Quenton Jackson is averaging 2.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 7). He clears 2+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.0avg · last 10
L58.0Szn5.8Home4.9Away6.4Best24
1+71%
6+39%
11+18%
16+7%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6 · hi 21 · lo 0
2501300511321

Quenton Jackson is averaging 6.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.8, best 24). He clears 6+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.2avg · last 10
L510.6Szn7.7Home6.5Away8.4Best27
3+68%
8+43%
13+21%
18+7%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8.2 · hi 23 · lo 0
510113001221623

Quenton Jackson is averaging 8.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.7, best 27). He clears 8+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
7.7avg · last 10
L59.8Szn7.4Home6.6Away7.8Best27
2+75%
7+46%
12+25%
17+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 7.7 · hi 27 · lo 0
4801510711427

Quenton Jackson is averaging 7.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.4, best 27). He clears 7+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
9.9avg · last 10
L512.4Szn9.3Home8.3Away9.9Best29
4+68%
9+46%
14+32%
19+7%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.9 · hi 29 · lo 0
713115101421729

Quenton Jackson is averaging 9.9 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.3, best 29). He clears 9+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
3.9avg · last 10
L54.4Szn3.5Home3.4Away3.5Best9
3+57%
6+21%
9+7%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.9 · hi 9 · lo 0
5812109148

Quenton Jackson is averaging 3.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 9). He clears 3+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Points 13.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Quenton Jackson (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quenton Jackson is Under 21.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +30.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers on Tuesday 7 April at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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