James Harden (LA Clippers) Over 19.5 Points (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingWhen the Bucks host the Cavaliers on March 18, keep a close eye on James Harden's scoring. While he's averaged 16.2 points over his last five games, he's historically turned it up against Cleveland. In fact, his recent outings against them showcase an impressive average of 23.4 points. The Cavaliers' defense has been vulnerable, allowing an average of 25.5 points to opposing guards when playing away.What's even more compelling is Harden's track record; he's hit the over on this 19.5-point mark in 15 of his last 19 games. The numbers suggest he's not just capable of eclipsing this line but likely to do so with some confidence. With an expected stat value of nearly 22 points, betting the over here feels like a smart play. Given the stakes of this matchup, Harden is poised to deliver when it matters most.