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NBA

Sam Merrill

Cleveland Cavaliers

+10.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 9.5 -128 (1.78)
+10.7% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Wed 18 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
66.9%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+10.7%
Predicted Value
6.9 Points

AI Analysis

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Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 9.5 Points (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill, but not for the reasons many might expect. At an away matchup, Merrill seems poised for a quieter night, especially with a points line set at 9.5. His recent performances tell a compelling story-averaging just 3.6 points on the road over his last five games, his scoring has dipped significantly when away from home. Although he's posted a respectable average of 10 points against the Cavs in the past, recent trends reveal he's only hit the over once in his last seven away games.With a hit rate of 9 out of the last 10 outings largely inflated by home games, it's clear that Merrill's scoring won't travel as well. Expect him to struggle to reach that 9.5 mark tonight, making the under a solid play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 28.6% (2/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 15.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 15.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts 15.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists Pending

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