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Sam Merrill

Cleveland Cavaliers

+9.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 14.5 -130 (1.77)
+9.5% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Wed 18 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
66.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+9.5%
Predicted Value
11.3 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 14.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Bucks gear up to face the Cavaliers, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill. While he's a talented player, his recent performance suggests he's unlikely to reach the 14.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists mark. Over his last five games, Merrill has averaged just 6.8 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists. Take a closer look at his away stats, where he's only managed a meager 3.6 points and 1 assist per game. Against the Cavaliers, Merrill's been slightly more productive, posting an average of 10 points during their matchups, but that's still a far cry from our target. With a hit rate of 9 out of the last 10 games resting firmly on the under, it's safe to say the smart money is on Merrill not surpassing 14.5 this time around. The numbers are firmly on our side for this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 25.0% (2/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs + Asts 14.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs 12.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Asts 11.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points — — — Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
11 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 25.0% (2/8). The latest model pick for Sam Merrill is Under 14.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday 18 March at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.