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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jock Landale is Under 8.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +9.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:29PM UTC
NBA

Jock Landale

Houston Rockets

+9.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 8.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
+9.9% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.4%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+9.9%
Predicted Value
5.8 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points67.4%—57.5%1.48+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jock Landale (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Mavericks gear up to face the Hawks, Jock Landale's scoring output has been trending in one clear direction: down. Averaging just 6.6 points over his last five games, he's consistently fallen short of that 8.5 mark. When you dive deeper, his average against the Hawks hovers around 7 points, and even more telling, he's been held to a meager 5 points when at home against similar opponents. With Landale hitting that under in 11 of his last 12 games, confidence in this trend is bolstered further by his efficiency-he's just not getting the opportunities needed to score. The Mavericks' offense is likely to focus on their star players, leaving Landale in a supporting role. Expect him to struggle again, making the under 8.5 points a smart play as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jock Landale — 2024-25 season averages

Over 43 games in the 2024-25 season, Jock Landale averaged 4.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 0.9 assists in 11.7 minutes per game, shooting 53.2% from the field and 42.3% from three-point range.

4.7
PPG
3.2
RPG
0.9
APG
0.3
SPG
0.2
BPG
11.7
MPG
53.2%
FG%
42.3%
3P%

Jock Landale — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jock Landale has played 18.6 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

18.6
MPG (L5)
7.6
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

Jock Landale — home vs away scoring

At home Jock Landale averages 4.2 points per game; on the road, 5.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

4.2
PPG at home
5.3
PPG on the road

Jock Landale — scoring by opponent

Jock Landale scores most against the LAC, averaging 6.8 points per game in that matchup.

6.8
LAC
6.5
POR
6.3
DEN
5.5
GS
5.2
UTAH
4.4
NO

Jock Landale — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jock Landale has averaged 7.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs GS5200
13 Aprvs DEN91130
11 Apr@ LAL25850
9 Apr@ LAC341195
2 Aprvs UTAH20652
30 Mar@ PHX161112
27 Mar@ UTAH141030
17 Marvs PHI6731
14 Marvs DAL23650
12 Marvs PHX9331
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jock Landale (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jock Landale is Under 8.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks on Thursday 19 March at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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