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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jock Landale is Under 8.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +9.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Jock Landale

Houston Rockets

+9.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 8.5 -135 (1.74)
+9.9% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Landale (ankle) will return to the Hawks on a one-year, $14 million deal, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Jun 30, 4:35PM UTC · 20d old
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Model Probability
67.4%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+9.9%
Predicted Value
5.8 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points67.4%—57.5%1.48+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jock Landale (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Mavericks gear up to face the Hawks, Jock Landale's scoring output has been trending in one clear direction: down. Averaging just 6.6 points over his last five games, he's consistently fallen short of that 8.5 mark. When you dive deeper, his average against the Hawks hovers around 7 points, and even more telling, he's been held to a meager 5 points when at home against similar opponents. With Landale hitting that under in 11 of his last 12 games, confidence in this trend is bolstered further by his efficiency-he's just not getting the opportunities needed to score. The Mavericks' offense is likely to focus on their star players, leaving Landale in a supporting role. Expect him to struggle again, making the under 8.5 points a smart play as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.5avg · last 10
L50.6Szn0.3Home0.2Away0.3Best3
1+26%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
0010101110

Jock Landale is averaging 0.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.3, best 3). He clears 1+ in 26% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.5avg · last 10
L57.6Szn4.7Home4.2Away5.3Best26
5+47%
10+21%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 7.5 · hi 11 · lo 2
36710116118112

Jock Landale is averaging 7.5 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.7, best 26). He clears 5+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jock Landale (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jock Landale is Under 8.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks on Thursday 19 March at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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