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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kam Jones is Under 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 69%, edge +21.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 22, 12:47PM UTC
NBA

Kam Jones

Indiana Pacers

+21.7% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 -222 (1.45) · $100→$145
+21.7% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 10:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
3.8 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.7% · the book's price implies 69.0% · gap +21.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points90.7%69.0%1.10+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 11.5 Points (-222)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes will be on Kam Jones, but not for the reasons you might think. With a points prop set at 11.5, there's solid reason to consider the under. Over the last six games, Jones has been under that mark consistently, hitting it just six times. When he's on the road, his performance drops even further-he's only eclipsed 11.5 points in his last four away games, showcasing a troubling trend. The Cavaliers are no slouches defensively, often stifling opponents' scoring efforts, and with Jones's expected stat value hovering around 3.84, it's clear that the matchup isn't in his favor. At a hefty implied probability of 69%, it seems the smart play here is to lean into the under and trust that Jones continues his downward trend in points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Kam Jones has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Kam Jones is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kam Jones is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday 5 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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