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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake LaRavia is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Jake LaRavia

Los Angeles Lakers

+20.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -115 (1.87)
+20.2% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
73.7%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+20.2%
Predicted Value
12.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.7%—53.5%1.36+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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Jake LaRavia (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Warriors, Jake LaRavia's recent performances reveal a compelling case for taking the under on his points and rebounds combined at 16.5. Over the last five games, he's averaged just 8 points and 6 rebounds, numbers that tell us he's been struggling to make a significant impact. When playing away, those figures dip even further, with averages of only 6.6 points and 4 rebounds. Against the Warriors, LaRavia's recent outings have yielded just 7 points and 3.2 boards. His away hit rate shows promise at 8 of 9, but given he's firmly in a slump offensively, it's hard to see him breaking through against a tough Golden State defense. With an expected stat value around 12.11, this matchup might just keep him under that threshold. Taking the under feels like a smart move as the stakes rise in this playoff showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
1.5avg · last 10
L51.4Szn0.9Home0.9Away0.9Best8
1+61%
2+21%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.5 · hi 3 · lo 0
3112121202

Jake LaRavia is averaging 1.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 8). He clears 1+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.4avg · last 10
L51.4Szn2.4Home2.9Away1.9Best10
2+64%
4+27%
6+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
1321013012

Jake LaRavia is averaging 1.4 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.4, best 10). He clears 2+ in 64% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
9.0avg · last 10
L59.2Szn6.9Home8.0Away6.0Best32
2+89%
7+48%
12+18%
17+8%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 9 · hi 15 · lo 2
1567133121011211

Jake LaRavia is averaging 9.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.9, best 32). He clears 7+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
10.4avg · last 10
L510.6Szn9.3Home10.9Away7.9Best34
4+77%
9+56%
14+23%
19+11%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 10.4 · hi 16 · lo 3
1699143131311313

Jake LaRavia is averaging 10.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.3, best 34). He clears 9+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
12.2avg · last 10
L512.0Szn10.9Home12.7Away9.1Best39
1+97%
6+77%
11+47%
16+23%
21+9%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 12.2 · hi 20 · lo 4
201410135141712413

Jake LaRavia is averaging 12.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 39). He clears 11+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
13.6avg · last 10
L513.4Szn13.3Home15.6Away11.0Best40
3+95%
8+70%
13+50%
18+27%
23+12%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 13.6 · hi 21 · lo 5
211712145152012515

Jake LaRavia is averaging 13.6 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.3, best 40). He clears 13+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.2avg · last 10
L52.8Szn3.9Home4.7Away3.2Best13
2+88%
4+52%
6+24%
8+11%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.2 · hi 8 · lo 0
5830227122

Jake LaRavia is averaging 3.2 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.9, best 13). He clears 4+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.6avg · last 10
L54.2Szn6.3Home7.7Away5.1Best14
3+82%
6+52%
9+30%
12+12%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.6 · hi 11 · lo 1
611512310134

Jake LaRavia is averaging 4.6 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.3, best 14). He clears 6+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Points 11.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jake LaRavia (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake LaRavia is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors on Friday 10 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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