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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
Denver Nuggets

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Ball Arena, Denver
Indoor
Thu 26 Mar 2026, 2:00AM
0
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day

Denver Nuggets

  • Aaron Gordon FDay-to-day
  • Trevon Brazile FDay-to-day
Availability updated Sep 10, 12:05AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Peyton Watson Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs
Peyton Watson Denver Nuggets Points
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Assists
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts
Cooper Flagg Dallas Mavericks Rebounds

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ Denver NuggetsNo line posted

Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDenver Nuggets spreadNo line posted

Denver Nuggets (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDenver Nuggets to winNo line posted

Denver Nuggets (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Denver Nuggets totalNo line posted

Denver Nuggets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Denver Nuggets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets — 0 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets — recent results

Denver Nuggets have won 1 of their last 5 games; Dallas Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5.

Denver Nuggets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L98–110MINAway
W125–113MINHome
L96–112MINAway
L96–113MINAway
L114–119MINHome
Dallas Mavericks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W149–128CHIHome
L120–139SAAway
L107–112PHXAway
L103–116LACAway
W134–128LALHome

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Denver Nuggets won 2, Dallas Mavericks won 0.

DateDenver NuggetsDallas MavericksWinner
Mar 26142135Denver Nuggets
Jan 15118109Denver Nuggets

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Denver Nuggets
PlayerStatus
Aaron Gordon FDAY-TO-DAY
Trevon Brazile FDAY-TO-DAY
Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Kyrie Irving GDAY-TO-DAY
Santi Aldama FDAY-TO-DAY
Dereck Lively II CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets — model preview

Latest NBA betting preview: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Marvin Bagley III. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks stats and odds.

Marvin Bagley III (Dallas Mavericks) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Mavericks gear up to face the Nuggets, all eyes should be on Marvin Bagley III's rebounding numbers, particularly when considering the under on his 9.5 rebounds line. Despite his potential, Bagley has averaged just 5.6 boards over his last five games, and while his away average jumps to 7.2, he's still well below the mark we're targeting. Against the Nuggets, he's managed 6 rebounds in their last five encounters, but notably, he's fallen short on the road with a 6.2 average. The numbers don't lie: Bagley has hit the under in all 11 of his last appearances, including a perfect 6-for-6 when away from home. With the Nuggets boasting a formidable frontcourt, it's hard to envision Bagley breaking through to hit that 10-rebound threshold. This matchup feels ripe for the under, making it a savvy play for those looking to capitalize on Bagley's recent trends.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Mavericks vs Nuggets, or as Nuggets vs Mavericks. The most recent game between them was Thursday 26 March 2026 at Ball Arena. The model has generated 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Denver Nuggets 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Mar 2026Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets142–135Denver Nuggets
15 Jan 2026Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks109–118Denver Nuggets
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