On Friday 11 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap (-175)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Monza gears up to host Sassuolo, it's hard to ignore their alarming form, especially at home. They’ve failed to secure a win in their last five games at the U-Power Stadium, averaging just 0.8 goals while conceding a staggering 2.8. Their xG figures tell a similar story—zero in their last five home outings. In contrast, Sassuolo has been slightly more resilient, with an average of 1.4 goals in their last five, despite struggling in away fixtures. Historically, Sassuolo has dominated this matchup, winning three of the last five encounters. Given Monza’s struggles and Sassuolo's ability to find the net more frequently, backing Sassuolo with a 0.25 handicap feels like the right call. They not only have the momentum but also the historical edge. This matchup could lead to a crucial three points for the visitors.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0 Goal Handicap (-130)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the recent form tells a compelling story. Monza has struggled at home, recording a dismal 0-1-4 in their last five matches and averaging just 0.8 goals, while conceding an alarming 2.8. Their xG of 0 hints at a lack of creativity, further compounding their woes. In contrast, Sassuolo, despite some inconsistency, has a solid historical edge against Monza, going 3-1-0 in their last four encounters. Their away form has been rocky, but they've averaged 1.4 goals in their last five, showcasing a capacity to score even when on the road. With Monza's home defense leaking goals and Sassuolo's attacking potential, backing Sassuolo at a handicap of 0 feels like the savvy play here. Expect Sassuolo to capitalize on Monza’s vulnerabilities and potentially secure a much-needed victory.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-130)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the form guide heavily favors the visitors. Monza has had a rough patch at home, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, with a dismal average of just 0.8 goals scored while conceding a staggering 2.8. Meanwhile, Sassuolo's historical prowess against Monza—boasting a 3-1-0 record in their last five encounters—gives them a psychological edge. Despite both teams struggling for consistent scoring, Sassuolo's form shows more promise, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five outings. Their ability to press and generate shots (15.4 on average) will likely put pressure on Monza’s shaky defense. With Sassuolo's overall strength and past dominance in this matchup, backing them in the Draw No Bet market feels like a calculated move worth taking.

That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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