Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Smith is Under 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +21.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases
Under 2.5
-175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+21.4% Edge
New York Mets
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
OUT
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Saturday that Smith (neck) will need at least 3-to-4 weeks to ramp back up to full speed, including a rehab assignment, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
updated Aug 1, 11:11PM UTC · 8d old
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Implied Probability
63.7%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Total Bases | 85.1% | — | 63.7% | 1.18 | +21.4% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Will Smith (LAD) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-175)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formBatter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Will Smith MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Will Smith MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Will Smith MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Will Smith MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Will Smith (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Smith is Under 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 16 April at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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