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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Smith is Under 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 85%, implied 64%, edge +21.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Rlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 10:18PM UTC
MLB

Will Smith

LAD

+21.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 2.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+21.4% Edge
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Manager Dave Roberts said Smith (neck) is expected to rejoin the Dodgers when MLB rosters expand Tuesday, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
updated Aug 30, 5:32PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
85 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 85.1% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap +21.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases85.1%63.7%1.18+21.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Will Smith (LAD) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Will Smith is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 1.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
1.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Will Smith has gone over 2.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Will Smith is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against MIL.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs MIL
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.4
HR · vs MIL
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Will Smith (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Smith is Under 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 16 April at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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