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The latest Bet Better model pick for Robbie Ray is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +5.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:30PM UTC
MLB

Robbie Ray

SFG

+5.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -1250 (1.08)
+5.2% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 6 Aug, 4:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.8%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+5.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks97.8%—92.6%1.02+5.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Robbie Ray (SFG) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Robbie Ray's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Pittsburgh Pirates. In his last five games, Ray has averaged 3.6 walks overall and 2.8 walks in away games, both significantly higher than the 0.5 line set for this bet. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he'll have ample opportunity to allow a walk, with 4.8 IP overall and 4.2 IP in away games. Moreover, Ray is on a current hit streak of 6 games overall and 8 in away games, which implies that batters are regularly making contact against him. This increases the chances of a walk, as pitchers often throw more carefully when they're being hit hard. Therefore, based on Ray's recent trends, betting over 0.5 walks allowed is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 2.567%
O 3.533%

Robbie Ray MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak4L2050%

Robbie Ray MLB walks: cleared over 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.2avg earned runs · L5

Robbie Ray MLB earned runs: averaging 2.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
14.6avg outs · L5

Robbie Ray MLB outs: averaging 14.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Robbie Ray (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Robbie Ray is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday 6 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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