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The latest Bet Better model pick for Robbie Ray is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 2:26AM UTC
MLB

Robbie Ray

SFG

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 5:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 55.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs55.6%1.95

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/4
Last 10 games0/4

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres: Robbie Ray Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Rays have been strong at home, and they face the San Diego Padres, who have struggled on the road. Robbie Ray is pitching, and he's been doing well lately, allowing fewer runs than average. The Padres hit about the same against left-handed pitchers as the Rays, but they have not been as consistent away from home. Betting on Robbie Ray to give up under 2.5 earned runs feels solid because he's been effective and the Padres are not putting up big numbers on the road. The biggest concern is that both teams are hitting similarly against lefties, which could lead to some unexpected moments. Still, with Ray's recent performance, this bet seems promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Robbie Ray is averaging 4.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.0
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
3.6
Walks
5.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Robbie Ray has gone over 2.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Robbie Ray is averaging 4.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.0 in away games.

4.0
Hits · Overall
3.0
Hits · Away
1.0
HR · Overall
1.0
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Walks 2.5 Under -185 ✗ MISS
25 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
25 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
18 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ New York Mets Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Robbie Ray (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Robbie Ray is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday 30 August at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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