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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ranger Suarez is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 3:23AM UTC
MLB

Ranger Suarez

PHI

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+16.1% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.8%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks79.8%—63.7%1.25+16.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Ranger Suarez (PHI) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ranger Suarez (PHI) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-175). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +115 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ranger Suarez (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ranger Suarez is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox on Thursday 6 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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