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The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Vasquez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 64%, edge +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 7:26PM UTC
MLB

Randy Vasquez

SDP

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+7.7% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.4% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap +7.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed71.4%—63.7%1.40+7.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Randy Vasquez (SDP) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Randy Vasquez for Under 5.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by solid statistical performance. Vasquez has consistently maintained a low average of hits allowed in his last five games, whether overall (3.8), at home (4.8), or against the Diamondbacks (4.0). His pitching has been efficient, with an average of over 13 outs per game, indicating his ability to control the game and limit hits. Further, he has a current hit streak of only 1, reflecting his recent success in preventing hits. Despite a home hit streak of 4, his overall performance shows a tendency to keep hits under the line of 5.5. Therefore, the under bet for Vasquez is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Randy Vasquez is averaging 3.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

3.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
3.4
Walks
1.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Randy Vasquez has gone over 2.5 H in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.570%
o3.560%
o4.550%
o5.530%
o6.520%
o7.510%
o8.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Randy Vasquez is averaging 3.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in home games, including his recent form against ARI.

3.8
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Home
4.0
Hits · vs ARI
0.0
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
0.8
HR · vs ARI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Randy Vasquez (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Vasquez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Saturday 27 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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