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The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Vasquez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:29PM UTC
MLB

Randy Vasquez

SDP

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+7.7% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs HOU @ SD
updated Aug 10, 12:20AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed71.4%—63.7%1.40+7.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Randy Vasquez (SDP) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Randy Vasquez for Under 5.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by solid statistical performance. Vasquez has consistently maintained a low average of hits allowed in his last five games, whether overall (3.8), at home (4.8), or against the Diamondbacks (4.0). His pitching has been efficient, with an average of over 13 outs per game, indicating his ability to control the game and limit hits. Further, he has a current hit streak of only 1, reflecting his recent success in preventing hits. Despite a home hit streak of 4, his overall performance shows a tendency to keep hits under the line of 5.5. Therefore, the under bet for Vasquez is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2055%
O 2.550%
O 3.510%

Randy Vasquez MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2070%
O 2.570%
O 3.560%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Randy Vasquez MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak11L2090%
O 0.5100%
O 1.580%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%

Randy Vasquez MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2avg earned runs · L5

Randy Vasquez MLB earned runs: averaging 2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
13.6avg outs · L5

Randy Vasquez MLB outs: averaging 13.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Randy Vasquez (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Vasquez is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Saturday 27 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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