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The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Vasquez is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Randy Vasquez

SDP

+3.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -833 (1.12)
+3.2% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.5%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+3.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks92.5%89.3%1.08+3.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Randy Vasquez (SDP) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Randy Vasquez for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed is a good choice based on his past performance data. Vasquez has a consistent record of allowing walks, with an average of 3.4 walks in his last five games overall and 2 walks in his last five home games. Even when specifically playing against the Diamondbacks, his walk average is 1. This suggests that it's highly likely he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages indicate he often stays on the mound long enough to allow walks. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, also suggest a higher likelihood of walks. These stats collectively suggest a strong probability that Vasquez will allow more than 0.5 walks in the game against the Diamondbacks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2055%
O 2.550%
O 3.510%

Randy Vasquez MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2070%
O 2.570%
O 3.560%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Randy Vasquez MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak11L2090%
O 0.5100%
O 1.580%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%

Randy Vasquez MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2avg earned runs · L5

Randy Vasquez MLB earned runs: averaging 2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
13.6avg outs · L5

Randy Vasquez MLB outs: averaging 13.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Randy Vasquez (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Vasquez is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Saturday 27 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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