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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Sandoval is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +14.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 6:22PM UTC
MLB

Patrick Sandoval

MLB

+14.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
+14.4% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+14.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed71.8%57.5%1.39+14.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Patrick Sandoval Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Sandoval Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-135). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +112 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
24 Jul 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Sandoval is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Sandoval is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 5 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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