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The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Corbin is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 77%, edge +7.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 4:18AM UTC
MLB

Patrick Corbin

TEX

+7.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+7.2% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Thu 21 Aug, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.2% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +7.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts84.2%—76.9%1.19+7.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's performance data indicates a strong tendency towards achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts per game. His last five games show an average of 3.4 strikeouts overall and 4.2 when playing away. This trend is even more pronounced against the Kansas City Royals, with an average of 4.5 strikeouts. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages suggest he's on the mound long enough to achieve the required strikeouts. His IP averages are 4.7 overall, 4.9 away, and 5.6 against the Royals, while his outs averages are 14.4 overall, 15 away, and 17.5 against the Royals. These stats suggest Corbin is consistently delivering performances that would win this bet. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further support this trend. Therefore, betting on Corbin to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a sound choice based on his recent performance data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Patrick Corbin is averaging 6.2 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.2
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
3.0
Runs
1.4
Walks
3.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Patrick Corbin has gone over 2.5 SO in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.570%
o3.520%
o4.520%
o5.510%
o6.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Patrick Corbin is averaging 6.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 7.4 in away games, including his recent form against KCR.

6.2
Hits · Overall
7.4
Hits · Away
6.5
Hits · vs KCR
1.0
HR · Overall
1.4
HR · Away
1.0
HR · vs KCR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Patrick Corbin (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Corbin is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.2% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals on Thursday 21 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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