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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nolan McLean is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +30.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 9:38AM UTC
MLB

Nolan McLean

NYM

+30.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 6.5 -179 (1.56)
+30.0% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 4:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
94.1%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+30.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts94.1%64.1%1.06+30.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

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AI Analysis

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Nolan McLean (NYM) Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves prepare to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Nolan McLean’s strikeout performance. While McLean has shown flashes of brilliance, the matchup paints a different picture. The Braves' potent lineup has been making contact and minimizing strikeouts, leading to a trend that favors the under on McLean's strikeout total of 6.5. Over the past few weeks, Atlanta has consistently put the ball in play, averaging fewer than 7 strikeouts per game against right-handed pitchers like McLean. Coupled with the Mets' recent struggles to find their rhythm at the plate, the odds lean heavily towards McLean falling short of his strikeout mark today. With the Braves’ aggressive approach and the likelihood of early run support, expect McLean to focus more on pitching to contact than racking up K's. Taking the under on his strikeouts feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 3.513%

Nolan McLean MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Nolan McLean (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nolan McLean is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +30.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 5 July at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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