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MLB

Nick Pivetta

SDP

+4.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+4.0% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Tue 30 Sep, 7:08PM
Model Probability
98.2%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nick Pivetta's recent performance, particularly in away games, supports the bet for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market. Over the last five games, Pivetta has averaged 5.2 hits allowed when playing away and even higher, 6 hits, when facing the Cubs. His innings pitched and outs averages also drop while playing away, further indicating a higher likelihood of conceding hits. Additionally, he's on a 9-game streak of allowing more than 1.5 hits in away games, showing a consistent pattern of this outcome. Despite his overall hits allowed average being 3.2, his performance specifically against the Cubs and in away games makes this bet statistically sound.

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Pick History & Track Record

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