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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
BOS
Nick Pivetta has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 6.5 that pays $490 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
For the numbers: our chance 23.9% · before adjusting for past results 22.3% · the book's price implies 20.4% · gap +3.5%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Los Angeles Dodgers play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Pivetta (BOS) Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+390). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +390 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher walks line is 1.5.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher hits allowed line is 3.5, best over price -149 across 7 books.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher earned runs line is 1.5, best over price -161 across 4 books.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher outs line is 14.5, best over price +102 across 7 books.
Nick Pivetta's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.
Nick Pivetta is averaging 3.2 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Nick Pivetta has gone over 2.5 SO in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Nick Pivetta is averaging 3.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.2 in away games, including his recent form against CHC.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Nick Pivetta (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Pivetta is Over 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday 25 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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