SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1196.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.1% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +596.4 units this season WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 14.5 @ -111) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) WIN: WON: Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers (Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 @ +124) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1216.5 units this season WIN: WON: Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers (Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 @ +126) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +519.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +596.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1196.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.1% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +596.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 14.5 @ -111) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) RESULT: WON: Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers (Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 @ +124) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1216.5 units this season RESULT: WON: Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers (Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 @ +126) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +519.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +596.4 units this season
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MLB

Leo Rivas

MLB

+22.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -345 (1.29)
+22.2% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego
Fri 17 Apr, 12:40AM
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Model Probability
99.7%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+22.2%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Leo Rivas (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Mariners on April 17, all eyes will be on Leo Rivas and his propensity to draw walks. While the prospect of Rivas taking a stroll to first may seem tempting, recent trends suggest otherwise. He’s been mired in a slump, with just a handful of walks over the last few games, which is concerning given the Padres' strong pitching staff. The Mariners have shown a tendency to chase pitches outside the zone, and with San Diego's top-tier rotation ready to exploit that, Rivas might find himself swinging more than standing still. Add in Rivas' average of less than one walk per game this season, and the case for taking the 'Under 1.5' walks becomes even clearer. With the Padres on a roll and Rivas struggling at the plate, expect a focused performance from the pitching staff that keeps him from reaching base via the walk.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Leo Rivas is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leo Rivas is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.2% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres on Friday 17 April at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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