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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Leo Rivas is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +22.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 23, 7:54AM UTC
MLB

Leo Rivas

MLB

+22.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -345 (1.29)
+22.2% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Fri 17 Apr, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
99.7%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+22.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks99.7%77.5%1.00+22.2%

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AI Analysis

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Leo Rivas (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Mariners on April 17, all eyes will be on Leo Rivas and his propensity to draw walks. While the prospect of Rivas taking a stroll to first may seem tempting, recent trends suggest otherwise. He’s been mired in a slump, with just a handful of walks over the last few games, which is concerning given the Padres' strong pitching staff. The Mariners have shown a tendency to chase pitches outside the zone, and with San Diego's top-tier rotation ready to exploit that, Rivas might find himself swinging more than standing still. Add in Rivas' average of less than one walk per game this season, and the case for taking the 'Under 1.5' walks becomes even clearer. With the Padres on a roll and Rivas struggling at the plate, expect a focused performance from the pitching staff that keeps him from reaching base via the walk.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Leo Rivas is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Leo Rivas is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.2% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres on Friday 17 April at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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