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MLB

Kodai Senga

NYM

+7.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -769 (1.13)
+7.8% Edge
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Sun 31 Aug, 5:40PM
Model Probability
96.2%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+7.8%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Kodai Senga (NYM) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kodai Senga for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by several consistent statistics. Senga's last five games reveal an average of 3.4 hits allowed overall, and specifically 3 at home, both above the betting line. His performance against the Marlins also supports this bet, with an average of 4.2 hits allowed in the last five encounters. Also, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, stands at 4 games, indicating a trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits per game. These figures, combined with his average innings pitched and outs, suggest a high likelihood of Senga allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Marlins, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

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