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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Turner is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Justin Turner

CHC

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+2.4% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Thu 28 Aug, 7:45PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.6%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks97.6%—95.2%1.02+2.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Justin Turner (CHC) Under 1.5 Walks (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Justin Turner for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a strong choice, supported by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Turner has an average of only 0.4 walks, both overall and against the Giants. His walk rate does not increase significantly even in away games, with an average of 0.6. His plate appearances also suggest a low walk rate, averaging 2.8 overall and 3.6 in away games. Furthermore, his current hit streak of 3 games overall and 1 away game indicates that he is more likely to hit than to take a walk. Considering these stats, it's statistically unlikely for Turner to achieve more than 1.5 walks in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Justin Turner MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.2avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2065%

Justin Turner MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.2 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Justin Turner MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Turner (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Turner is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants on Thursday 28 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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