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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jurickson Profar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:52PM UTC
MLB

Jurickson Profar

ATL

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Over 0.5 -208 (1.48)
+4.1% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 7 Sep, 4:05PM
UNKNOWN
Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
updated May 8, 11:02AM UTC · 75d old
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Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+4.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits71.7%67.6%1.40+4.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jurickson Profar (ATL) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jurickson Profar to have over 0.5 hits is a solid choice, considering his recent performance data. His average hits in the last five games overall and at home are 0.8 and 1 respectively, both higher than the line of 0.5. This indicates a consistent performance. Furthermore, when facing the Mariners, his average hits rises to 1, suggesting he performs well against this particular team. His plate appearances (PA) also remain consistent at 4.2 across all categories, showing he gets ample opportunities to hit. Although his current hit streak is at zero, his averages suggest the likelihood of him getting a hit is high. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Profar to have over 0.5 hits in the game against the Mariners.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
0.8avg hits · L5
L2075%
O 0.570%
O 1.510%

Jurickson Profar MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg total bases · L5
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Jurickson Profar MLB total bases: averaging 0.8 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
1.4avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2065%

Jurickson Profar MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.4 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.8avg singles · L5
L2060%

Jurickson Profar MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.520%

Jurickson Profar MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jurickson Profar (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jurickson Profar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 7 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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