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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Mike Yastrzemski

SFG

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+16.9% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.4%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks89.4%72.5%1.12+16.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) Under 0.5 Walks (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) Under 0.5 Walks (-263). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -250
Game log vs U 0.57 / 7 hit
0000000

Mike Yastrzemski MLB singles. Current line U 0.5 at -250.

Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -263
75%hit L10
Game log vs U 0.57 / 8 hit
00000010

Mike Yastrzemski MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -263.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak4
O 0.5100%
O 1.550%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2
O 1.550%
O 2.525%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak4
O 0.5100%
O 1.575%
O 2.525%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 4 · lo 0
400

Mike Yastrzemski MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
0200010

Mike Yastrzemski MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.2 · hi 1 · lo 0
01000

Mike Yastrzemski MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.525%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 10 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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