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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +19.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
MLB

Mike Yastrzemski

SFG

+19.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -256 (1.39)
+19.2% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 11:15PM
OUT
Yastrzemski (elbow) could return from the 10-day injured list when eligible Tuesday, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
updated Jul 18, 6:19PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+19.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits91.1%—71.9%1.10+19.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves gear up to host the Marlins, all eyes will be on Mike Yastrzemski, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits might be a stretch. The Marlins' pitching staff has quietly been formidable lately, with a solid 3.60 ERA over the last month, and they’ve been particularly tough on left-handers. Yastrzemski, while a capable hitter, has struggled against quality pitching, hitting just .250 against righties this season. On top of that, the Braves' potent lineup could mean fewer opportunities for Yastrzemski to reach base, as he may find himself batting lower in the order. With the game expected to be competitive, he might not get the necessary plate appearances to go over, especially if Miami’s starter finds his groove. Considering these recent trends, taking the under on Yastrzemski's hits seems wise in what could be a tight pitching duel.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

3 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -256+19.2% edge
90%hit L10
Streak3L2090%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -256 (+19.2% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -189+11.9% edge
70%hit L10
L2075%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 2.5 at -189 (+11.9% model edge).

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 1.5 -526+6.1% edge
100%hit L10
Streak16L2095%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB runs scored: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -526 (+6.1% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Mike Yastrzemski MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 4 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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