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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Rojas is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +15.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 1, 2:28AM UTC
MLB

Josh Rojas

ARI

+15.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -175 (1.57)
+15.0% Edge
Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.7%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases78.7%63.7%1.27+15.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/3
Last 10 games3/3

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AI Analysis

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Josh Rojas (ARI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockies gear up to face the Royals, keep an eye on Josh Rojas' performance at the plate. Rojas has struggled recently, hitting just.214 over his last ten games, which is a stark contrast to his earlier season form. The Rockies’ home field advantage is usually a boon, but their lineup has hit a rough patch, managing only a.230 average against left-handed pitchers, who are notoriously tricky for Rojas. Facing off against Royals' lefty Daniel Lynch, who’s generated a respectable 3.80 ERA in his last five starts, the odds are stacked against Rojas. Lynch has shown the ability to keep hitters off balance, striking out nearly a batter per inning. With Rojas projected for under 1.5 total bases, it seems wise to lean into the recent trends and the tough matchup, making the 'under' a compelling pick in this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%
O 1.533%

Josh Rojas MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -370 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Rojas (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Rojas is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies on Saturday 1 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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