Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jesus Luzardo is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB
Jesus Luzardo
PHI
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Over 1.5
-2000 (1.05)
+3.4% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Mon 6 Oct, 10:08PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
95.2%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 98.6% | — | 95.2% | 1.01 | +3.4% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.580%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%
O 9.510%
O 10.510%
Jesus Luzardo MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.5100%
O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.570%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%
Jesus Luzardo MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Jesus Luzardo MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 60%hit L10
1.4avg earned runs · L5
L2065%
Jesus Luzardo MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 70%hit L10
18.2avg outs · L5
Streak4L2065%
Jesus Luzardo MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 18.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jesus Luzardo (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jesus Luzardo is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies on Monday 6 October at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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