SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days
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MLB

Connor Norby

MLB

+6.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -1429 (1.07)
+6.5% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta
Tue 4 Aug, 11:15PM
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Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
93.5%
Model Edge
+6.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor Norby (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves face the Marlins, all eyes will be on Connor Norby, but betting on him to hit over 1.5 doubles feels like a stretch. While he’s been a promising young bat, his recent form has been shaky, especially against elite pitching. The Braves’ rotation has been nothing short of stellar, sitting near the top of the league in strikeouts and keeping opponents guessing with their mix of high-velocity fastballs and sharp breaking pitches. Moreover, the Marlins’ lineup has struggled against right-handers, and with the Braves' bullpen ranked among the best, the chances of Norby finding gaps diminish significantly. Historically, he’s found it difficult to pile up doubles against teams with strong defensive alignments like Atlanta. With the odds leaning heavily towards the under on this line, it seems wise to expect Norby to fall short of that 1.5 doubles mark tonight.

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About This Player

Connor Norby is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Norby is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 4 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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