Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Grant Holmes is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +29.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 4:53PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-101 (1.99)
+29.3% Edge
Atlanta Braves
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 rightOur call on Grant Holmes tonight: ●●● ●.● @ ●.●●1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks
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Implied Probability
50.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 79.5% | — | 50.3% | 1.26 | +29.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Grant Holmes Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-101)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Grant Holmes Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-101). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
2 markets livePitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming gameU 4.5 -106 Grant Holmes MLB hits allowed: cleared under 4.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 4.5 at -106.
Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -102 Grant Holmes MLB earned runs: cleared under 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 2.5 at -102.
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.590%
O 2.570%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.510%
Grant Holmes MLB strikeouts: cleared over 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Grant Holmes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grant Holmes is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees on Sunday 9 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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