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The latest Bet Better model pick for Grant Holmes is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Under 4.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Under 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 3:01PM UTC
MLB

Grant Holmes

MLB

Value call

Grant Holmes has one live pick today: Pitcher - Outs Under 14.5 that pays $207 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs Under 14.5 +107 (2.07) · $100→$207
Value call
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sat 19 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs ATL @ HOU
updated Sep 19, 11:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
14.0 Pitcher - Outs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.9% · before adjusting for past results 56.6% · the book's price implies 48.3% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs56.6%50.9%48.3%1.96+8.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves: Grant Holmes Under 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+107)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Grant Holmes takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves in a game at Minute Maid Park, where home runs fly out more easily than in many other places. While the Braves have shown some good form lately, winning three out of their last six games, Holmes might face challenges against the Astros' strong lineup. This makes predicting his total outs a bit tricky. The risk here is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so it could go either way. With the Astros known for their powerful hitting, it's possible they could put a lot of pressure on Holmes. Betting on him to get under 14.5 outs could pay off, but be prepared for the chance that he might have a tougher outing than expected.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Grant Holmes has gone over 1.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.560%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -137 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Outs 14.5 Under +123 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Grant Holmes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grant Holmes is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Saturday 19 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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