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The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Sheets is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Gavin Sheets

SDP

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+2.3% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Fri 10 Jul, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.0%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks87.0%—84.7%1.15+2.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Gavin Sheets (SDP) Under 0.5 Walks (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Gavin Sheets and his walk potential. Despite being known for his keen eye at the plate, Sheets has recently struggled to draw walks against right-handed pitchers, hitting only a 4% walk rate in his last 30 at-bats. With the Padres' lineup facing off against Arizona's ace, who boasts a stellar 2.85 ERA and a 25% strikeout rate, the likelihood of Sheets earning a free pass diminishes significantly. Moreover, the Diamondbacks' bullpen has been tight-lipped, allowing just a handful of walks over their last series. When combined with Sheets’ recent tendencies, the conditions point towards a solid case for him to stay under 0.5 walks tonight. The numbers favor a low-outcome scenario, making this under bet not just a gamble, but a savvy play grounded in current form and matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 1 · lo 0
110

Gavin Sheets MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%

Gavin Sheets MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Gavin Sheets MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2058%
O 0.560%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Gavin Sheets MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%

Gavin Sheets MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Gavin Sheets MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Gavin Sheets MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Gavin Sheets MLB stolen bases: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -556 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -370 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks 1.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Sheets (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Sheets is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Friday 10 July at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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