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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daulton Varsho is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 10%, implied 6%, edge -0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 8
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 7

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 12, 8:04PM UTC
MLB

Daulton Varsho

ARI

-0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
-0.2% Edge
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sat 12 Sep, 10:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 29 of 156 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 5.7% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap -0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored5.7%9.8%5.9%10.23-0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Daulton Varsho (ARI) Over 1.5 Runs Scored (+1600)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Daulton Varsho (ARI) Over 1.5 Runs Scored (+1600). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +1600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $170 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Daulton Varsho's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5
How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
-143 best over price · 13 booksHow many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -143 across 13 books.

Batter Doubles 0.5
+450 best over price · 8 booksHow many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter doubles line is 0.5, best over price +450 across 8 books.

Batter Walks 0.5
+350 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +350 across 6 books.

Batter Singles 0.5
+135 best over price · 6 booksHow many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +135 across 6 books.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?

Daulton Varsho's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Daulton Varsho has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 62% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.562%
o1.512%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Daulton Varsho hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +111 ✗ MISS
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Daulton Varsho (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daulton Varsho is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday 12 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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