Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey Mize is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 97%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB
Casey Mize
DET
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Over 0.5
-3333 (1.03)
+2.6% Edge
Seattle Mariners
@
Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Wed 8 Oct, 7:08PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Mize is dealing with groin tightness and a wrist injury following his early departure from Sunday's 3-2 loss to the Angels, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
updated Jul 19, 11:28PM UTC · 1d old
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Implied Probability
97.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 98.7% | — | 97.1% | 1.01 | +2.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Casey Mize (DET) Over 0.5 Hits Allowed (-3333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.530%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%
Casey Mize MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%
O 5.540%
O 6.510%
Casey Mize MLB hits allowed: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Casey Mize MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 50%hit L10
1.6avg earned runs · L5
L2060%
Casey Mize MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 80%hit L10
15.4avg outs · L5
Streak4L2085%
Casey Mize MLB outs: cleared over 9.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Casey Mize (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey Mize is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers on Wednesday 8 October at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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