Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Miller is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +15.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:15PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+15.9% Edge
Detroit Tigers
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Thu 6 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
65.4%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 81.3% | — | 65.4% | 1.23 | +15.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Bryce Miller Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-189)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Seattle Mariners play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Miller Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-189). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.5100%
O 3.5100%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
Bryce Miller MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.5100%
O 2.570%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
Bryce Miller MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.550%
Bryce Miller MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Bryce Miller MLB earned runs: averaging 2.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 100%hit L10
15.4avg outs · L5
Streak50L20100%
Bryce Miller MLB outs: cleared over 11.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Bryce Miller is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Miller is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 6 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.