SYSTEM STATUS: Online SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129)
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MLB

Brandon Sproat

MLB

+25.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -133 (1.75)
+25.3% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Thu 16 Apr, 5:40PM
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Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+25.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Brandon Sproat (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-133)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Toronto Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Brandon Sproat and his strikeout numbers. Sproat, while showing flashes of brilliance, has struggled to find consistent form against a potent Blue Jays lineup that thrives on contact. With a batting average well above .260 against righties, Toronto's hitters have a knack for putting the ball in play, which could limit Sproat's strikeout opportunities. Moreover, Sproat has averaged just over two strikeouts per start recently, falling shy of that 3.5 mark. The Brewers’ defense has also been solid, making it tough for Sproat to find those swing-and-miss opportunities. Given the context of this matchup and how aggressive the Blue Jays can be at the plate, betting on the under seems like a smart move—there's a fair chance Sproat stays under that 3.5 strikeout line.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Brandon Sproat is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Sproat is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.3% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday 16 April at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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