Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Sproat is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 65%, edge +26.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 4.50 SOlanded 7 of the last 7
Under 4.50 SOlanded 7 of the last 7
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Aug 26, 5:22PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 2.5
-189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+26.0% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Tue 4 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 933 of 1,879 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
91 in 100
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For the numbers: model probability 91.4% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap +26.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 91.4% | — | 65.4% | 1.09 | +26.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/7 |
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Brandon Sproat Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-189)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Milwaukee Brewers play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Sproat Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-189). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Brandon Sproat has gone over 2.5 SO in 29% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.529%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 03 Aug 26 |
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers |
Pitcher - Hits Allowed |
4.5 |
Under |
-135 |
✓ HIT |
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Brandon Sproat is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Sproat is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday 4 August at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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