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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Malgeri is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 27 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 27%, the price says 40%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 9:27AM UTC
MLB

Ben Malgeri

DET

Ben Malgeri has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 that pays $247 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 +147 (2.47) · $100→$247
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Wed 23 Sep, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
27 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 27.4% · before adjusting for past results 28.3% · the book's price implies 40.5% · gap -13.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored28.3%27.4%40.5%3.64-12.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

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AI Analysis

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Ben Malgeri (DET) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+147)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ben Malgeri (DET) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+147). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Ben Malgeri has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +147 ✓ HIT
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +262 ✓ HIT
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Malgeri (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Malgeri is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -12.2% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers on Wednesday 23 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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