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The latest Bet Better model pick for AJ Smith-Shawver is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 9:25AM UTC
MLB

AJ Smith-Shawver

MLB

Value call

AJ Smith-Shawver has one live pick today: Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 that pays $201 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 +101 (2.01) · $100→$201
Value call
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Tue 8 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.0% · before adjusting for past results 74.6% · the book's price implies 49.8% · gap -0.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks74.6%49.0%49.8%2.11+24.8%

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AI Analysis

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AJ Smith-Shawver Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+101)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is AJ Smith-Shawver Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+101). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
19 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

AJ Smith-Shawver is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for AJ Smith-Shawver is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.8% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 8 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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