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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Washington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 6:40PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Mon 6 Apr 2026, 10:45PM
15
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9 Total Runs +134

The model graded 15 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $234 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 6 Apr 2026, 10:45PM at Nationals Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.3%
The price says42.7%
Best price+134
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9 Lean48% chance +134
Total Runs Lean57% chance
Total Runs Long-shot39% chance
Total Runs Lean44% chance
Total Runs High62% chance
Total Runs Long-shot31% chance
Total Runs Lean53% chance
Total Runs Long-shot35% chance
Total Runs Long-shot23% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
12
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP

Washington Nationals

  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • James Wood RFOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andrew Alvarez SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 11:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington NationalsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Washington Nationals moneyline form: last five 1-4, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineWashington Nationals run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Washington Nationals spread form: last five 1-4, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Washington Nationals total runs form: last five 1-4, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 3.6 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals — 15 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals — recent results

Washington Nationals have won 1 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3COLHome
W13–3COLHome
L2–6MIAAway
L2–4MIAAway
L0–2TEXAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–13BALHome
L4–6PHIAway
L3–12PHIAway
L6–7PHIAway
W10–9CINAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Washington Nationals won 5, St. Louis Cardinals won 4.

DateWashington NationalsSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Apr 816St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 767St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 696Washington Nationals
Mar 1915St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1710Washington Nationals
Mar 1536St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1131Washington Nationals
Feb 2461Washington Nationals
Feb 2162Washington Nationals

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Josiah Gray SPOUT
Connelly Early SPOUT
James Wood RFOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals : Over 8 Total Runs (-108)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Nationals host the Cardinals on April 6, expect a battle of bats that could easily push the total runs over 8. Both teams have been swinging hot sticks lately. The Nationals have seen their lineup come alive, averaging over 5 runs in their last five games, with key hitters finding their stride. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' offense isn’t to be overlooked; they’ve been racking up runs consistently, making them a formidable force at the plate. On the mound, while both teams have decent starters, neither is immune to giving up a few runs—especially early in the season when pitchers are still shaking off the rust. With the weather likely favoring hitters and both lineups looking to capitalize on any mistakes, the Over feels like the smart play in what promises to be a high-scoring affair. Buckle up; this one could be a slugfest!

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Nationals, or as Nationals vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Monday 6 April 2026 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Even at 4–4 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
8 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals1–6St. Louis Cardinals
7 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals6–7St. Louis Cardinals
6 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals9–6Washington Nationals
19 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals5–1St. Louis Cardinals
17 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals1–0Washington Nationals
15 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals6–3St. Louis Cardinals
11 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals3–1Washington Nationals
24 Feb 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals6–1Washington Nationals
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