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Model picks & player props
MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Sun 24 Aug 2025, 12:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

0
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Richard Fitts SPDay-to-day
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jacob Melton LFOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Freddy Peralta SP
Availability updated Oct 14, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lars Nootbaar STL Batter - Hits
Josh Lowe TBR Batter - Stolen Bases
Ryan Pepiot TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Masyn Winn STL Batter - Stolen Bases
Ivan Herrera STL Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
4.1runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Tampa Bay Rays — 0 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CLEHome
W4–3NYYAway
W5–2NYYHome
W1–0NYYHome
L3–7PHIAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6MILAway
L2–3MILAway
L4–8MILAway
L1–2PITAway
W5–1PITAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 1, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DateTampa Bay RaysSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Mar 29117Tampa Bay Rays
Mar 2856St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 2679St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jacob Melton LFOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Richard Fitts SPDAY-TO-DAY
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis Cardinals? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Ryan Pepiot. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Ryan Pepiot (TBR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ryan Pepiot has shown consistent performance in recent games, averaging 6.2 strikeouts in both his overall and home games. This is well above the line of 3.5 set for this bet. His overall and home innings pitched averages of 5.6 indicate that he generally stays in the game long enough to achieve this number of strikeouts. Moreover, his current hit streaks of 3 overall and 2 at home demonstrate a consistent ability to exceed this line. Thus, the statistical trend of Pepiot's performance suggests a strong likelihood that he will achieve over 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Rays, or as Rays vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 24 August 2025 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Rays head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 10.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 29 Mar 2026, Tampa Bay Rays at St. Louis Cardinals: the Rays won 11-7.

DateGameScoreWinner
29 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals7–11Tampa Bay Rays
28 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals6–5St. Louis Cardinals
26 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals9–7St. Louis Cardinals
24 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays7–2Tampa Bay Rays
22 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays10–6Tampa Bay Rays
21 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays4–7St. Louis Cardinals
8 Aug 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals4–6Tampa Bay Rays
7 Aug 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals5–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Aug 2024Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals4–3St. Louis Cardinals
10 Aug 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Rays2–5St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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