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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Seattle Mariners

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 9:32AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Sun 15 Jun 2025, 1:40AM
0
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 74 of 108 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Chase DeLauter RFDay-to-day
  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut

Probable pitcher

Parker Messick SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Lazaro Montes RFDay-to-day
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

George Kirby SP
Availability updated Sep 6, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Randy Arozarena SEA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
J.P. Crawford SEA Batter - Singles
Gavin Williams CLE Pitcher - Strikeouts
Bo Naylor CLE Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Gabriel Arias CLE Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 15 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
2.7runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Cleveland Guardians L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners — 0 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATHHome
L6–7ATHHome
L4–7ATHHome
W8–3BOSAway
W9–6BOSAway
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–6DETHome
W4–3DETHome
W7–6DETHome
L3–6TORHome
L0–11TORHome

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 5, Cleveland Guardians won 4.

DateSeattle MarinersCleveland GuardiansWinner
Jun 2856Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2734Cleveland Guardians
Jun 2631Seattle Mariners
Mar 2956Cleveland Guardians
Mar 2980Seattle Mariners
Mar 2851Seattle Mariners
Mar 2746Cleveland Guardians
Mar 21208Seattle Mariners
Feb 2687Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Lazaro Montes RFDAY-TO-DAY
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Brennen Davis CFOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Nick Davila RPOUT
Emerson Hancock SPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Chase DeLauter RFDAY-TO-DAY
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Tanner Bibee (CLE) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tanner Bibee for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a good choice based on his consistent performance data. His last five games show an average of 4 strikeouts overall and 4.2 when playing away, both of which exceed the line of 2.5. Additionally, Bibee's performance against the Mariners is even stronger, with an average of 12 strikeouts in the last five games. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further demonstrate his consistent performance. The data also shows that Bibee tends to stay in the game for a good duration, with an average of around 5 innings pitched, providing more opportunities for strikeouts. These statistics strongly suggest that Bibee is likely to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Sunday 15 June 2025 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 19–15 across the last 34 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians6–5Cleveland Guardians
27 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians4–3Cleveland Guardians
26 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians1–3Seattle Mariners
29 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners5–6Cleveland Guardians
28 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners5–1Seattle Mariners
27 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners4–6Cleveland Guardians
26 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners4–6Cleveland Guardians
21 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians8–20Seattle Mariners
20 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians8–20Seattle Mariners
26 Feb 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Seattle Mariners8–7Seattle Mariners

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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