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Model picks & player props
Sassuolo
VS
Bologna

Sassuolo vs Bologna Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 10:25AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM
20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 3.5 Total Cards Total +105

The model graded 22 markets for Sassuolo vs Bologna (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $205 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.2%
The price says44.9%
Best price+105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Cards Total Over 3.5 Lean54% chance +105
Total Corners High83% chance
Total Corners Long-shot38% chance
Total Corners Long-shot19% chance
Total Corners Long-shot28% chance
Total Corners High89% chance
Total Corners Long-shot12% chance
Total Corners High94% chance
Spread High96% chance
Shots × 1 prop Long-shotup to 39%
Shots on Target × 1 prop Long-shotup to 19%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Bologna are the model's favourite to beat Sassuolo, with a 74% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 6 Sep, 4:00PM at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Best bet: Over 3.5 at +105.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 36 bookmakers compared
Winner
Sassuolo4.20+320Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.65+265Betfair Exchange (UK)
Bologna2.04+104Kalshi
Total goals
Over2.51.98-102Matchbook
Under2.52.00+100Matchbook
Market backing Bologna: 2.28 → 2.14 (35 books)

Sassuolo vs Bologna odds by bookmaker

36 books · best price in green
BookSassuolo winBologna winBologna -0.5Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetAnySports4.10+3101.98-1021.95-1051.83-1202.00+100
BetOnline4.10+3101.98-1021.98-1021.90-1111.93-108
BetUS4.10+3102.00+1001.95-1051.87-1151.95-105
Bovada3.95+2951.95-1051.95-1051.89-1121.93-108
LowVig4.10+3101.98-1021.98-1021.90-1111.93-108
Matchbook4.20+3202.02+1022.02+1021.98-1022.00+100
Bally Bet3.70+2701.97-1031.88-1141.87-115
BetMGM3.80+2801.95-1051.83-1201.87-115
betPARX3.70+2701.97-1031.88-1141.87-115
BetRivers3.70+2701.97-1031.88-1141.87-115
Casumo3.70+2701.97-1031.88-1141.87-115
Grosvenor3.75+2752.00+1001.88-1141.87-115
Kalshi4.00+3002.04+1041.96-1042.00+100
LeoVegas3.80+2801.92-1091.88-1141.88-114

Since the market opened: Bologna to win opened 1.91, best now 2.04; the over 2.5 opened 1.99, best now 1.98 (decimal, best book).

Market backing Bologna: 2.28 → 2.14 (35 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Cards Total
Over
3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Cards TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Bologna on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Bologna
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betanysports
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sassuolo

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bologna

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sassuolo vs Bologna: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Same game parlay

Written 6 Sep

Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Key Insights: Don't Miss These Odds

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the stage is set for a corner-heavy encounter. Bologna has shown a propensity to apply pressure at home, averaging 12 shots per game, which naturally leads to corners. Their recent trend of 1.2 corners per game at home highlights their attacking intent. Meanwhile, Sassuolo, despite struggling in recent away matches, still averages around 1.6 corners per game, as they often push forward in search of goals. Considering the overall dynamics, with both teams needing points and Bologna's tendency to dominate play, the likelihood of surpassing the 6.5 corners mark feels strong. Both teams are likely to create chances, leading to corners, especially with the stakes high in this Serie A clash. Expect an engaging battle with plenty of corner kicks as they vie for supremacy on the pitch.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jay Idzes Venezia Shots
Jay Idzes Venezia Shots on Target

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
3-3-2past meetings (last 8)
Home form9-7-4Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bologna have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Both Teams to ScoreSassuolo @ Bologna+116
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bologna60%Sassuolo50%Free board16-13
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Bologna's and 50% of Sassuolo's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 47% here.

Total GoalsSassuolo @ BolognaUnder +2.5 -110
53%model over %
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg3.6
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them; the model prices Under at 53% here.

SpreadSassuolo @ BolognaBologna -1.5 +320
3-3-2past meetings (last 8)
Home margin+0.4Away margin-1.2

Bologna on the -1.5 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 24%.

Sassuolo @ Bologna — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Sassuolo at Bologna — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sassuolo @ Bologna — where the money went

Since betting opened on Sassuolo at Bologna, the market has moved toward Bologna across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Bologna▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Bologna -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Draw▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Sassuolo 0.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Sassuolo▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Sassuolo @ Bologna — model preview

Bologna v Sassuolo, 6 September 2026. Top of the list: Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners, priced at -476 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Over 6.5 Total Corners (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, the stage is set for a corner-heavy encounter. Bologna has shown a propensity to apply pressure at home, averaging 12 shots per game, which naturally leads to corners. Their recent trend of 1.2 corners per game at home highlights their attacking intent. Meanwhile, Sassuolo, despite struggling in recent away matches, still averages around 1.6 corners per game, as they often push forward in search of goals. Considering the overall dynamics, with both teams needing points and Bologna's tendency to dominate play, the likelihood of surpassing the 6.5 corners mark feels strong. Both teams are likely to create chances, leading to corners, especially with the stakes high in this Serie A clash. Expect an engaging battle with plenty of corner kicks as they vie for supremacy on the pitch.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sassuolo vs Bologna in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 6 September 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Bologna 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Mar 2026Bologna @ Sassuolo0–1Bologna
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