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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Cleveland Guardians

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 12, 3:03AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Fri 27 Jun 2025, 11:10PM
0
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 27 of 145 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Cam Smith Over 0.5
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Our call on this game: 2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut

Probable pitcher

Parker Messick SP
Availability updated Sep 12, 12:15AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sonny Gray STL Pitcher - Walks
Logan Allen CLE Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Jose Ramirez CLE Batter - Stolen Bases
Sonny Gray STL Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Logan Allen CLE Pitcher - Walks

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA3.6Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board19-18

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA3.6Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA3.6Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Cleveland Guardians — 0 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–9BALAway
W9–5BALAway
L4–6BALAway
W3–2DETHome
L0–6DETHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.8 runs per game (2-3) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 4.2 (1-4); Cleveland Guardians pitchers are allowing 3.4 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for St. Louis Cardinals.

3.8
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesCleveland GuardiansSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game3.84.2
Hits / game6.66.8
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game2.43.2
Batter K / game4.27.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.44.2
Pitching K / game9.85.8
Walks allowed / game3.03.6
L5 record2-31-4

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 1, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DateCleveland GuardiansSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Apr 1535St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 1456St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 1393Cleveland Guardians

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Cleveland Guardians playing St. Louis Cardinals. Includes analysis on key players like Victor Scott II. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data provided indicates that Victor Scott II has a low stolen base average, both overall and specifically in away games. His average for the last five games, both overall and away, is only 0.2 stolen bases per game, significantly less than the line of 0.5. Additionally, he has an average of zero caught stealing in the last five games, suggesting he doesn't attempt to steal bases often. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, are only at one, indicating that he's not consistently getting on base to even have the opportunity to steal. Therefore, betting on the 'Under' option for Victor Scott II in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a data-driven choice.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Friday 27 June 2025 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals5–3St. Louis Cardinals
14 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals6–5St. Louis Cardinals
13 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals3–9Cleveland Guardians
29 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians0–7St. Louis Cardinals
28 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians6–9St. Louis Cardinals
27 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians0–5St. Louis Cardinals
22 Sep 2024Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals2–1St. Louis Cardinals
21 Sep 2024Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals6–5St. Louis Cardinals
20 Sep 2024Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals1–5Cleveland Guardians
28 May 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Cleveland Guardians4–3Cleveland Guardians

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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